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Daynotes: Week of 6 - 12 Sept, 1999

Daily notes and commentary -- Week 36

* Link to: last modified 23:10 GMT+2 on 12.09.1999

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Monday 6 September

Incredible, "summer" continues for yet another week.

The news is filled with reports on the ghastly situation in East Timor. As correctly pointed out by some commentators, the whole mess will very likely burn UN credibility very badly in the developing countries and (re-)emerging ethnical regions, even though it is the Indonesian government that must bear the blame for now not keeping the militia forces in line.

It seemed headstrong, not to say incredibly naive, for the UN to go into such a volatile region and guarantee a referendum on independence, with no backing or apparent contingency plans, however well-meant. Predictably, a decisive majority voted for full independence, not surprisingly triggering a backlash.

There was never any clear indication of to what extent the central government was prepared to go against its own military (whose feelings on the issue were well-known) in case of an independence vote -- events prove that it was not. Apparently, it is content to make public shows of mild distress, while letting the chaos on the ground destroy any "risk" of the results being implemented any time soon.

The only question is whether the military forces in the region are just remaining passive, or are in fact actively encouraging the pro-Indonesian militia to mayhem. I expect we will soon see imposition of martial law to guarantee "public safety", which will allow a final clean-up of oppositionals.

Recent history of well-meaning interventions into regional conflicts, whether by the UN or by Western military forces, is decidedly nothing that would today inspire any great comfort for a people who are looking for help against acts of aggression. In fact, a good case could be made that the "cure" has often turned out worse than the original struggle.


I finally got around to unpacking and installing the new version of NoteTab (Light) that I had downloaded the other day www.notetab.comremote. For simple text editing, and sometimes not-so-simple tasks, the older SuperNoteTab (version 2.63e) has been something of a mainstay on my system. I especially appreciated the "strip html" and "convert characters to html". Well, now with version 4.6, I was to say the least curious about what has happened to the program over a couple of years. It is perhaps an indication of the problem-free utility of the old version that I had felt no great urge to check for a later version during all this time.

The preliminary verdict on the new version is that the upgrade is worthwhile. This is still a no-nonsense text editor, and the added features are non-obtrusive yet easily accessed. Perhaps the single most useful addition for me was the "convert document to html" -- a one-step creation of a clean-html document from any text. So, it is minimal, but sometimes that is the point, and there was an interesting twist to it, because NoteTab has an "outline" format (very simple to create) which when html'ed automatically creates the header-link into, then the respective sections with link back to top at the end of each. This seems perfect for converting the translation text I have been working on to the webpages this will eventually be.

Jerry Pournelle reportedremote (last week's view and mail) that when he downloaded NoteTab Pro the download settings in his system (registry entries) were replaced with some kind of vendor "download wizard", causing considerable grief since it had installed itself permanently. This must be specific to IE5 downloading, because I experienced no problems of any kind downloading the ZIP file.


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Tuesday 7 September

Just about everything today ended up interrupted, or in the dustbin, figuratively speaking. The final straw was being called up by a peeved person wondering why we had called him. Turned out he couldn't read his own calling-number display properly, or rather the number he quoted was ours except that it had a "1" tacked on to the end of it -- so he dials this "too long" number and of course reaches us. I was reminded of a similar incident some time ago when our son answered the phone only to get roundly told off by an irate salesman in Germany who claimed much the same. I am beginning to suspect the the new automatic prefix configurations may be messing up older calling-number services, and that the number displayed sometimes lacks e.g. the calling number's (cellular) prefix.

I suppose one should count one's blessings. At least I have not for example experienced the level of email harassment that among others "Dr Keyboard"remote has -- 8500 junk emails overnight, sheesh.

Personally, I've had a dramatic lull in email a few days, so much so that I had to fire off a few roundabout test emails to myself just to make sure that the mail servers were in fact receiving. All systems functional, servers serving, wikis responding...

I went spelunking in my Linux installation a "short" while this afternoon, looking to redefine the (local net) IP numbers for my machine. Guided by the Linux books I had, this unexpectedly turned into a session of confusion, for the configurations files quoted in the books did not exist in the Red Hat 6 install. It's evidently handled with different scripts, and I could only effect a partial reassignment, which failed. Curiously, I saw that the "localhost" entry was defined as 127.0.0.0 instead of the usual 127.0.0.1 and my attempts to manually make new routing entries only returned "illegal arguments". -- As some colleagues would say in like situations: wtf?

The initial aim of the exercise was to have the Linux Apache be able to serve the same dummy domains (based on the 192.168.0 net) as the NT version, so that I can access the local wikis I now use extensively also in Linux. No joy on that today.


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Wednesday 8 September

Cooped up for so long with the keyboard, I rebelled around midmorning and went walkabout most of Wednesday. (When my wife heard about this, her only comment was: Good for you!) Had a haircut with beard trim (long overdue, was beginning to feel like the local beast). Wandered through town. Beautiful summer's day. Couldn't resist browsing for new SF books, and ended up buying a couple of real bricks -- as if I don't have enough to read stacked up at home... Ate lunch out. Just one of those days when it feels to good and necessary to wander and reflect.

Basically an away-from-computer day.


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Thursday 9 September

Reading, writing and thinking.

Interesting thought... More and more gold holders are voicing the intention of selling off considerable amounts of the stuff. It's more than a few isolated news blips. Britain auctioned off 25 metric tons back in July, the Swiss intend selling off over 600 tons, albeit over a longer period of time, the IMF some 300 tons (to help write off some Third World debts), and other major holders are quietly in line. While it is a long time since gold was the financial backing of last resort, most national banks have still kept ample supplies locked away. For a rainy day perhaps? Quaint and old-fashioned according to most economists, many of whom urge liquidation and moving the funds to more useful value backing instruments. Still, the Bank of England alone stores national gold reserves for at least 70 countries, in addition to its own.

Question is: if current stocks get liquidated, who is going to buy these amounts of the metal, even if spot prices dip further, and in what currency? Or to look at it another way, if the major players are no longer in the mood to see gold as an investment commodity, who else will be willing to stock up?

I mean, that is at the heart of invenstments -- you buy into some commodity or arrangement trusting in two things when the time comes to "liquidate":

  1. That there is someone out there willing to buy when you want to sell.
  2. That you can sell at a higher price (in real money) than you bought for.

When either of these conditions are not met, you -- and the market -- are in trouble.

People have always believed in religions and in conspiracies, and it is not clear what difference, if any, there is between the two.


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Friday 10 September

Hmmm. I got sucked into Tad Williams' Otherland series, by starting to read one of the books I bought on Wednesday. The man writes a mean tale about near future Internet society and conspiracy, in thick volumes, or which there are four so far. Intriguing. TGIIF -- I would hate to put the book away for more than a day or so.

Otherwise a day riddled with interruptions and complications. And a deep clean. Our daughter had a friend over yesterday afternoon, who unfortunately took rather acutely ill, throwing up an afternoon's worth of lunch and snacks all over Edward's bedroom floor -- it was not a pretty sight. Or smell. The emergency clean-up and mopping occurred right then of course, but a more substantial cleaning was required, because the cats were definitely smelling something there even this morning.

We're just hoping it was not one of these stomach flu's that we've heard a bit about lately. (Nature's version of "deep clean".)

Looking over some recent hardware specifications, I am forcibly struck by how "obsolescent" one's system gets in a year or two. (Obsolete in three!) Actually, you don't even have to check the hardware specs on new machines -- it is enough to check the "minimum" and "recommended" requirements in the new OS and application packages. Depressing. And of course this means that nothing of all this is "built to last" -- you generally get cheap plastic, thin cases, unfinished, temporary...

Contrast this with the fantasy of e.g. Star Wars, where robot/droid computers (and protocols!) last and function for not just years, but generations! You know, we really have a very ephemeral view compared to most cultures throughout recorded history. Probably not one of us can really grasp the world view reality of largely unchanging social and technological continuity lasting centuries, much less millennia. (Interestingly, much ufo and sf background is based on this concept of historical stasis, which is rather incongruous when presented through the eyes of your typical contemporary American-style protagonist.)


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Saturday 11 September

Badly depressed today, cause indeterminate. Could be I'm having trouble with the extreme weather for September here.

Try to choose the happiest way of saying things, so that your own words do not weigh you down like stones. -- !Xabbu (paraphrased)

The safest course of action appeared to be to continue reading Otherland: City of Golden Shadow. So apart from some (long) time on the phone, that's what I did -- finished off the first volume, all 780 pages of it. A serious read that -- I will have to buy the next volume, real soon.

Oh, I did try to help Edward with his Chemistry (8th year). Heavy going. He has to, along with a large part of his class, redo a test on Tuesday, and the root problem seems to be the sudden shift of the expected grasp of the subject. While last year's teacher taught on the level of implanting basic facts, this year the test reads more like expectations on chemistry majors at high school -- They must explain and reason around the periodic chart of elements. Commendable in itself, because to answer those questions requires the student to think and show a grasp of the fundamentals, rather than simply regurgitate memorized factoids. Coming as the first test of the season, however, it left everyone in shock, and many with 0 points.


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Sunday 12 September

* Reading some recent material about coming graphical display developments, i.e. how to make digitally created images "more real than real". Interesting to say the least. The step up in question concerns going from the current paradigm, where we can create "images of spectacular quality, none (of which) guarantees physical accuracy", to images that have a "predictive" quality in terms of how they model a possible physical reality.

Oddly, much in this suite of articles ties in very well with the VR aspects of the Otherland book I was reading.

The fact that display devices work as well as they do in creating acceptable visual representations of scenes is due to the fact that the human visual system is as limited as it is. -- Donald P Greeberg, Communications of the ACM, Aug 1999

Well, yes and no. Part of the success is also due to the kind of processing that the visual system does on its input, both in retina and in the brain, before we actually perceive anything.

I have however been having severe fits of coughing today, making any serious work very hard to concentrate on, so my main focus of the day has been keeping the kids out of the way of my wife who is studying hard for a test tomorrow. Other tasks that dropped in my lap included shopping, making food, washing, fix this&that, and taking care of other sundry housekeeping chores that had accumulated during the week.


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All original material Copyright 1999 Bo Leuf.
Comments and discussion welcome (bo@leuf.com).

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